International oil prices are fluctuating at a high level, and polyester filament is facing upward pressure - it is recommended to stock up in advance. We will do our best to ensure supply, delivery time and quality. 

Dear Customer:

Recently, the international crude oil market has once again entered a period of intense volatility. Affected by multiple factors such as the repeated regional conflicts in the Middle East, the continuation of OPEC+ production cuts, and the decline in US crude oil inventories, the Brent crude oil price reached over $110 per barrel in mid-May. Although it experienced a technical correction later, it is currently still stable in the high range of $105 - $108 per barrel. Many energy institutions predict that in the short term, geopolitical risks are unlikely to subside, and the oil price is likely to continue to maintain a high-level wide-range fluctuation pattern. 

Crude oil is the starting point of the chemical fiber industry chain. An increase in oil prices will quickly be transmitted to every stage of the process, namely PX (para-xylene) → PTA (polarized terephthalic acid) → MEG (ethylene glycol) → polyester chips → polyester filament (POY/FDY/DTY). 

1. Why should you be highly vigilant about current oil price fluctuations?
Cost-push inflation is characterized by rigidity and persistence

Unlike demand-pull inflation, once cost-push inflation starts, it tends not to fall rapidly. As long as the price of crude oil does not drop significantly, the production cost of polyester filament will remain at a high level, and factories can only shift the pressure by continuously raising prices. 

Upstream factories may voluntarily reduce production, leading to a tightening of supply.

When the profits in the PTA and polyester production processes are compressed to a certain extent, some small and medium-sized factories will choose to cut costs or conduct maintenance. Historical data shows that when the oil price exceeds $100 per barrel and remains so for more than three weeks, the average industry operating rate may drop by 5% to 8%. The reduction in supply will further push up the spot prices, and even lead to a situation where there is value but no quantity. 

Concentrated replenishment downstream can easily lead to logistics congestion.
Once customers generally realize that prices will continue to rise, they tend to place orders and prepare stocks in a concentrated manner. Based on past experience, this "herd effect" will result in: 
The factory's production schedule has suddenly become fully booked, and the delivery dates have been extended. 
Container shortages and tight shipping space, with temporary price hikes for sea or land transportation services. 

Quality control experienced fluctuations due to the rush production. 

2. What preparations have we made for you? — Three guarantees, as solid as a rock
In the face of market uncertainties, RUNTEKS, leveraging its stable supply chain resources and mature management system, offers the following assurances to you: 

Guarantee Dimension Specific Measures

Quality Stability:

① All products are made using high-quality polyester chips, and the production process strictly follows the ISO 9001:2025 quality management system;

② Each batch is tested for 12 key indicators such as breaking strength, elongation rate, oil content, and network degree before leaving the factory, and a quality inspection report can be provided with the goods;

Delivery Timeliness:

① We have completed 30-day safety raw material inventory preparation in advance, unaffected by short-term shortages of PTA/MEG;

② The production line operates at full capacity but not beyond capacity, and the production scheduling system automatically locks machines and times when receiving orders;

Logistics Efficiency:

① We have signed long-term agreements with 3 first-class freight forwarders and 2 dedicated fleets, enjoying priority booking rights and fixed transportation capacity;

② We can provide multiple options such as sea freight, railway, and land transportation, recommending the fastest and most stable route based on your destination port;

③ From factory loading to export customs declaration, the entire process is tracked by dedicated personnel, and the logistics trajectory is updated daily.

3. Suggested Inventory Preparation Based on Current Market Conditions (Specifically Operable)

We do not encourage blind large-scale stockpiling, but we suggest that you, based on your own order cycle and safety inventory level, place orders in batches and strategically in advance: 

Lock in the average usage quantities for the next 30-45 days.

Based on your purchase records from the past two months, identify the 3-5 specifications with the highest purchase volumes (such as POY 150D/48F, FDY 75D/36F, etc.). 

For these specifications, it is recommended to place a one-time order to cover the planned usage for the next 30-45 days. This way, even if the prices rise in the future, the cost for this part will be locked in. 

The delivery will be made in 2-3 batches to avoid warehouse congestion.
If you are concerned about the excessive inventory upon arrival at one time and occupying the storage space, you can negotiate with us on "same price, batch delivery". For example: Today, sign a 100-ton contract at the current price, and agree to pick up the goods in three batches in June, July, and August. We support this flexible approach, provided that the total quantity is confirmed and the unit price will no longer change with market fluctuations. 

Focus on products with strict delivery time requirements

If you have ongoing export orders (especially those with strict L/C delivery deadlines or orders where air freight is changed to sea freight), it is recommended to place orders for the required chemical fiber raw materials first, and mark them as "urgent orders". We will mark them as priority production to ensure that there will be no delay in the delivery of your final products due to raw material shortages. 

4. Risk Warning: It is not recommended to "wait and see"

Based on the analysis of our internal research team, there is a low possibility of a unilateral decline in polyester filament prices within the next 2-4 weeks. The main reasons include: 

In early June, OPEC+ will hold a production meeting, and it is highly likely to maintain the current production cut policy. 

The peak period for travel in the Northern Hemisphere's summer is approaching, and the increased demand for gasoline is driving up the price of crude oil. 
Domestic orders for textile and clothing products for domestic sales and exports in China are still recovering on a month-on-month basis, and the demand side has not collapsed. 
The most likely scenario: Prices will continue to rise moderately from the current level, or remain at a high level. A significant drop is unlikely to occur. Therefore, waiting will only result in higher procurement costs rather than lower ones. 

5. Take immediate action and lock in the current price and delivery date

To facilitate your quick decision-making, our sales team is ready: 
Quotation validity period: The current price is valid for 2 natural days (starting from the date of this announcement). After 2 days, the price will be recalculated based on the cost of raw materials. 

Quotation method: You can directly send the required specifications, quantity and destination port via WhatsApp, WeChat or email. We will provide the formal PI (invoice in form) within 2 hours. 

Free samples: For the first-time cooperation specifications, we can offer a 1-kilogram sample for free. 

The shipping cost is to be paid by the customer. This sample is provided for your testing and confirmation of the bulk order.